Stats boffins reveal Arsenal's chances of winning the Premier League after thrashing Tottenham - but which of Liverpool or Man United miss out on the top five?

Arsenal have more than a 75 per cent chance of winning the Premier League after thrashing north London derby rivals Tottenham, according to the number-crunchers at Opta.

Talk of a title win is growing after The Gunners eased to a 4-1 victory under the lights at the Emirates on Sunday, extending their lead at the top of the Premier League table to six points.

It has been seen as a statement win by many for Mikel Arteta's side, who have come close in a number of recent seasons before ultimately falling behind the likes of Manchester City and Liverpool.

And according to the statisticians, Sunday's triumph has boosted Arsenal's chances of claiming the title to a whopping 76.14 per cent - making them five times more likely to win the league than their suspected challengers.

Should Arteta's men continue on their current path - and the future trajectory set for them by metrics such as expected goals - the boffins at Opta say Arsenal could raise the title in May with a finishing total of 81.20 points.

Monday morning's predictions have City coming in second place behind Arsenal with a predicted 71.25 points - and just a 14.11 per cent chance of winning the league - while Chelsea are in third with an expected 64.89 points.

Enzo Maresca's men may currently find themselves in second-place after a strong start to the season, but the predictions do not have faith in their ability to win the league.

In fact, despite a run of three league wins in a row without so much as conceding a single goal, the gurus believe there is just a 3.46 per cent chance of the title returning to Stamford Bridge.

It is also dire reading for Arne Slot's defending champions, Liverpool, who are predicted to pip fourth spot with 64.07 points. However, most Reds fans would likely be happy with that considering they have won just once in the last seven league games.

Things then start to get interesting in the European qualification spots below the top four, who are all guaranteed Champions League football.

Because while Manchester United have found a fine run of form of late and are unbeaten in the last five games, Opta's experts believe the Red Devils could miss out on European football altogether.

Beating them to fifth, sixth and even seventh, according to the predictions, are Aston Villa, Crystal Palace and Brighton respectively.

Villa, who are currently sitting in fourth place, could even find themselves in contention for a guaranteed Champions League spot by the time next May rolls around.

Unai Emery's men are expected to rack up 62.19 points in fifth place, while Crystal Palace could secure a consecutive season of European qualification with 61.21 in sixth. Brighton, meanwhile, are expected to round off the top seven with 57.64 points.

Should the predictions come true, it means United would miss out on European football for a second season in a row in what could be a catastrophic blow for the club.

Ruben Amorim's men host Everton on Monday evening with a win propelling them into the top five, but the authorities on data and stats don't see the Red Devils maintaining the pace.

They think United could end the season with a miserly 56.32 points, meaning they would actually come closer to a bottom-half finish than a Champions League spot.

Behind them in ninth place? Newcastle United, the statisticians suggest. 

Despite their 2-1 triumph over City on Saturday night, Eddie Howe's men are not expected to contend for a European spot and could finish four positions lower than last season with 56 points.

Rounding off the top-half behind them is Andoni Iraola's Bournemouth side, with the Cherries expected to collect 54.90 points.

Should those predictions come true, it would send shockwaves in the general direction of north London. For while their rivals are clinching a Premier League title, Tottenham are expected to finish in the bottom-half for a second season running.

Under the management of Thomas Frank, Spurs' current trajectory has them on just 54.08 points come the end of the season in lowly 11th place. 

Below them are Frank's former side Brentford, who are expected to finish just 1.55 points behind their ex-boss. Keith Andrews men are predicted to finish 12th - and put some distance between themselves and the cohort below.

In 13th place, say the boffins, will be Everton with 48.03 points. The Toffees haven't set the heather alight this season but have been going steady - and David Moyes is not expected to pull up any trees come May, say Opta.

Behind them in 15th, 16th and 17th is expected to be Sunderland, Fulham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham, who are all predicted to avoid the drop.

New boys Sunderland appear well safe in this scenario - racking up 45.16 points ahead of Fulham with 45.04 and Nottingham Forest with 43.06.

It's another story altogether for West Ham, however, who are only expected to beat relegation narrowly compared to their counterparts, with a lowly 38.63 points.

Still, such a tally would take them above Leeds in 18th with a predicted 34.84 points and Burnley in 19th with 34.52.

Wolves, meanwhile, are not expected to be saved by Rob Edwards - who upon his return to the Molineux said he did not have a magic wand. 

He may want to look for one though, because his side are expected to claim just 24.81 points this season - and currently have a 94.91 per cent chance of being relegated to the Championship.